信息网络安全 ›› 2017, Vol. 17 ›› Issue (9): 93-97.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1671-1122.2017.09.022

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基于APT逻辑的恐怖事件因果关系分析

王玉辉1, 曾泽华2,3(), 沈嘉荟2, 符天枢2   

  1. 1.华中科技大学电信系, 湖北武汉 430074
    2.中国科学院信息工程研究所,北京 100093
    3.中国科学院大学网络空间安全学院,北京 100049
  • 收稿日期:2017-08-01 出版日期:2017-09-20 发布日期:2020-05-12
  • 作者简介:

    作者简介: 王玉辉(1978—),男,湖北,博士研究生,主要研究方向为通信系统;曾泽华(1993—),男,陕西,博士研究生,主要研究方向为事件分析与社会计算;沈嘉荟(1989—),女,辽宁,研究实习员,硕士研究生,主要研究方向为人工智能和大数据;符天枢(1989—),男,黑龙江,研究实习员,硕士研究生,主要研究方向为人工智能和大数据。

  • 基金资助:
    国家重点研发计划[2016QY03D0503];中科院战略合作专项[AQ-1708,AQ-1703];国家自然科学基金[U163620068]

APT Logic-based Causality Analysis of Terrorist Incidents

Yuhui WANG1, Zehua ZENG2,3(), Jiahui SHEN2, Tianshu FU2   

  1. 1. School of Electronic Information and Communication, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan Hubei 430074, China
    2. Institute of Information Engineering, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100093, China
    3. School of Cyber Security, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China
  • Received:2017-08-01 Online:2017-09-20 Published:2020-05-12

摘要:

近年来,世界范围内恐怖事件频发,严重威胁国际社会安全,恐怖事件分析已成为内容安全领域的研究热点。APT逻辑是指通过建立规则,对时序事件因果关系建立推理模型,在多个领域得到了广泛应用。在前人工作的基础上,文章提出了一种灵活性和可扩展性较好的基于APT逻辑的恐怖事件因果关系分析算法,并使用全球恐怖主义数据库中的数据对极端组织“伊斯兰国”发动的恐怖事件的因果关系进行研究,且对结果进行了测试。文章得到了部分恐怖事件的因果关系对,对研究恐怖事件提供了帮助。

关键词: 因果关系分析, APT逻辑, 事件分析, 伊斯兰国, 恐怖事件

Abstract:

In recent years, terrorist incidents have occurred frequently in the world, which seriously threatens the safety of the international community. The analysis of terrorist incidents has become a hot topic in the field of content security. APT logic proposes a reasoning model for causal relationships of temporal events by establishing rules, which has been widely used in many fields. On the basis of previous works, this paper propose a flexible and extensible causality analysis algorithm of terrorist incidents based on APT logic, and uses the data from the Global Terrorism Database to investigate the causal relationships between terrorist attacks conducted by the ISIS. The paper tests the results and gets some causal relationships between some of the terrorist attacks, which provide help for the study of terrorist incidents.

Key words: causality analysis, APT logic, event analysis, ISIS, terrorist incident

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